The Overnight Nasdaq System Is Soaring

Feb. 3, 2025

Sometimes simple systems are great.

Especially long-term simple systems.

The simplicity is what makes them robust and is what protects them from the Quantum Menace, Willow.

But sometimes simple is too simple. There are times when I go back and look at a simple system…and it’s too elementary.

The lack of well-thought-out rules makes it fragile and flimsy.

And, in my mind, this is probably the case with a system we talked about a few months ago: the Overnight Nasdaq System.

Yes, the data shows that most of the gains in the past 14 months in the Nasdaq has been overnight. And, yes, there’s data showing that to be true for longer than just recent times.

But merely holding on to a trade for overnight gains on a down day seems too easy. (naughty words warning)

And seeing how the 2025 stock market has been more skittish than a cat in a room full of rocking chairs, I figured this system would have taken a beating.

So, has it?

Remember, this system comes from David Bean and you can look it up at Capstone Trading Systems.

Here are the rules once again:

• Buy to open the NQ on the 15M chart at the close of the 16:00 ET bar.
• Sell to close the NQ at the close of the next day’s 9:30 ET bar.
• Only do this on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday.
• And only do this if the close at 16:00 is less than the close of yesterday at 16:00.
• Stoploss: $6700 per contract. This is the stop I prefer.

And here’s how it’s done in 2025 so far via Portfolio Architect:

That amount of money trading just 1 contract is phenomenal. All the volatility hasn’t been a bad thing. It’s been a winning accelerator.

And here’s the Report going back to 2000 on a sample $24k account:

Here’s the Curve trading 1 contract since 2000:

It’s up over 700% without doing any compounding.

Once again, keep a few things in mind.

One, 2025 has been crazy volatile. And it’s been a good thing.

Two, it was very profitable during the Bear Market of 2022.

Three, there are losing years, but they’re small.

Just trading the night session on down days is making its case to be a robust system.

Who knew?

You can watch the videos on this system here and here.

Talk to you soon.

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Disclaimer:
It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented in these products will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Examples presented on these sites are for educational purposes only. These set-ups are not solicitations of any order to buy or sell. The authors, the publisher, and all affiliates assume no responsibility for your trading results. There is a high degree of risk in trading.

HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN INHERENT LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER- OR OVER-COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.