The High-Percentage Blueprint over Many Years

Nov. 1, 2023

This week we’re looking at a methodology that’s put up great hypothetical numbers in a year that’s been notoriously tough to trade.

And that methodology is a High-Percentage methodology and here’s the blueprint again:

• Establish the long-term trend. I use a long-term moving average.
• Make price close above the long-term trend for Long trades (or simply trade in the direction of the established trend.) Do the opposite for Short trades.
• Wait for a pull-back. I like to use indicators for this; RSI, CCI, Stochastics all work well.
• Go for a small profit target while having a bigger stop. I like the stop to be 2-5x bigger than the profit target.

Using that framework on 9 currency pairs on the Heron robot has produced this hypothetical Curve in 2023 (on a sample $15k account):

Great. But what about the past 5 or 10 years? This year is completely different from the ones preceding it.

Does the High-Percentage style of trading hold up?

Here’s the Heron portfolio Equity Curve via Portfolio Architect from 2018-2023 using 1 lot each time on 9 pairs:

That’s hypothetically held up very well, producing about 500%.

How about the past 10 years? Here’s the same Heron portfolio from 2013-2023:

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Disclaimer:
It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented in these products will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Examples presented on these sites are for educational purposes only. These set-ups are not solicitations of any order to buy or sell. The authors, the publisher, and all affiliates assume no responsibility for your trading results. There is a high degree of risk in trading.

HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN INHERENT LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER- OR OVER-COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.